With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Legal Statement. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. as well as other partner offers and accept our. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. Among all registered voters surveyed, it's a much closer race. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. The AP called the race after Johnson claimed his win earlier in the morning and other national media outlets such as NBC News,CBS News, and CNN projected Johnson would win. Legal Statement. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Market data provided by Factset. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. The margins of error for registered voters and likely voters are +/- 4.3% and +/-4.8% respectively. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. Lt. Gov. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. or redistributed. The. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has rated the battleground Senate race as a toss-up, and other recent polling has shown the two candidates nearly deadlocked as the midterms draw nearer. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". (AP Photo/Morry Gash). The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. Barnes sought. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Keep updated on the latest news and information. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". | Morry Gash/Associated Press. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. 4:12. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. That's still slightly higher than the 36 percent who view Johnson favorably. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. The state's other senator, Tammy Baldwin, is a Democrat as well. Hungry? Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. Mandela Barnes in his bid for a third term in office. Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. A Fox News survey of. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Show us your political mailers! The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. Lt. Gov. While Johnson has outperformed . ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . The Associated Press calls the race for Johnson at 11:46 AM. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Stay up to date with what you want to know. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Johnson got a boost from voters'. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. 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